03-23-2011, 09:05 AM | #391 | |
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03-23-2011, 09:39 AM | #392 | |
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03-23-2011, 09:50 AM | #393 | |
The Grand Mouse 高貴的老鼠
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The AAP and IDPF do provide figures, although they are limited. They report wholesale income from 12 to 15 trade publishers in the US only, excluding library, educational and professional sales. With these caveats, the numbers are interesting. http://idpf.org/about-us/industry-statistics Their graph fitting is terrible though — they seem to trying to fit to a quadratic polynomial! I attach a better graph, with wholesale income shown on a logarithmic scale. Note that ebook income is increasing at a greater than logarithmic rate (otherwise it would be a straight line). The fit shown is a double exponential curve. Note the odd drop in income in Q2 of 2010. I wonder what happened then. Oh! Agency pricing... I also attach a graph with a linear dollar scale. |
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03-23-2011, 09:53 AM | #394 | |
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03-23-2011, 10:20 AM | #395 |
Curmudgeon
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Here's another way to look at the question:
What color dog do we, the posters in this thread, have in this hunt? In other words, why do we oppose DRM? Is it because DRM inhibits our ability to buy what we want to buy? Not in the least. I could go to Amazon this moment and buy any ebook they sell. Is it because DRM inhibits our ability to use what we buy in the way we want to use it? Not in the least. I could strip the DRM off that ebook and do whatever I want with it. Is it because DRM inhibits our ability to get or give ebooks illegally? Not in the least. I know how to use Google too. While DRM has affected some of us in the past, there is not a single person in this thread that I've seen who expects DRM to hamper them in the future; the ones who were affected in the past learned from the experience, and the ones who weren't learned from other people's experiences. DRM is not going to interfere with our ability to obtain or use any ebook whatsoever. So whatever dog we have in this hunt, "DRM is going to hurt me personally" is not it. Now, consider also the fact that we're not just readers but voracious readers. I would venture to guess that any person here reads more ebooks, or more books in general, than any ten "ordinary" people. It is in our best interest for there to be a continuing, and increasing, supply of books for us to read. Even for people who read primarily public domain books, an increase in overall ebook readership means a greater interest in PD books, and hence more people volunteering for PG, the Distributed Proofreading project, etc., and therefore more and better PD ebooks. There is nobody in this discussion who would benefit in any way if book authors became unable to make a living writing books, and therefore no new ebooks were available. I say again: nobody. There are people who would like to see the book industry as a whole fail. They're the people who are in competition with it: the sellers of movie tickets, the manufacturers of fancy clothes, the owners of night clubs ... all the people whose products are competing with books for consumers' entertainment dollars. Those people are not us. We're the ones who want the books. Also, we are not idiots. We are not fools. We are not stupid. We are aware of our reliance on the book industry. We know we want books, more books, additional books, and a few extra books besides. We're the people who were derided for being "bookworms" in school. We're the people whose relatives gave up on Christmas presents long ago and just give us bookstore gift cards. We're the people who can't do anything in our houses without moving the books out of the way first. Even those of us who write for a living can't write as fast as we can read. We utterly depend on authors to write books for us, and we're fully aware of that fact. So, given the facts in evidence -- that we rely on the book industry, that we are aware of that reliance, and that we are not stupid -- why would so many of us be advocating something which would be totally, utterly, and completely contrary to our own interests? Remember, the existence of DRM does not harm our interests personally; we can circumvent DRM, or find people to do it for us. If you really want to put it that way, we are the "technorati" who can get any book they want DRM-free, and if we were in favor of distributing ebooks without paying for them, everyone we know could also get any ebook they want through us. Whatever dog we have in this hunt, it's not that one. So why would we advocate hurting ourselves? Either we don't rely on the book industry, we're unaware that we rely on the book industry, or we're bloody stupid. Since I have disproved all three of those assertions, and everyone else in this thread is evidence of the same, then the only possible conclusion is that we don't advocate hurting ourselves -- that, in fact, what we advocate is something that would be beneficial to ourselves. How would DRM-free ebooks benefit us? Would we be able to buy ebooks that we can't buy now? Aside from the weirdos like me who refuse to buy DRM-locked ebooks, no. Not a one. We can already buy any ebook we want. Would we be able to use ebooks in a way that we can't use them now? No. Every person in this thread can strip DRM or knows someone who can do it. For us, ebooks are already effectively DRM-free. Would we be able to get free ebooks that we have to pay for now? No. We can all use Google. If we are willing to download illegal ebooks, it doesn't matter if they shipped without DRM or that DRM was stripped by the person who put them on the darknet. They're still available exactly the same way to us. So what's the difference? The long-term health of the book industry. Yes, we want authors and distributors of books to thrive. We don't want this from some diffuse altruistic motive -- we want it for a very simple, straightforward reason: we want them to write books for us. We need those books. We need those books like an addict needs his drug. When we hear Thomas Jefferson's line "I cannot live without books," we wonder who could. We need our books, and the sources of those books. And, not being stupid, we know authors are not going to be able to write books for us if they have to work digging ditches. If we want them to write books, we know they need to be able to make money from books. Other people may be stupid. The posters in this thread on MobileRead are not. Other people may prefer forms of entertainment that are not books. The posters in this thread on MobileRead do not. Other people may not think about where their entertainment comes from, or how to keep it coming in the future. The posters in this thread on MobileRead do. And I have not yet seen an argument in favor of DRM that would explain why so many of us think it is an anathema which does not presume that we are either malicious, ignorant, or utterly and irredeemably stupid. That's the dog we have in this hunt: the one that wants ebooks available to feed our addiction, now and in the future. The one that wants authors to write more books so we can read them. The one that, driven by realpolitik, wants to see the book industry thrive so that we can have more ebooks. That is why your arguments are not working, stonetools. You're arguing as though we wanted to destroy the book industry out of either greed, malice, or stupidity. None of those is true. We don't see ourselves in our arguments, so they pass right by us. Print this out and put it on a little card on your keyboard: WE WANT MORE BOOKS. That's really the bottom line. |
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03-23-2011, 10:49 AM | #396 | |||
Wizard
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1) While Amazon is obviously heavily invested in the Kindle, they're primarily a book vendor. The Kindle is an e-book kiosk, not the main event for Amazon. They care about lock-in because they would prefer you don't have the option to buy from other vendors from your Kindle, not because they don't want you buy any other device to read your Amazon e-books on. It would suit Amazon just fine if you bought your Kindle e-book and read it on a Sony Reader. What they don't want is for you to buy from the Sony Reader bookstore and read it on your Kindle. 2) Apple's not going to be the savior this time, any more than they were last time. Apple's support of e-books seems half-hearted, at best. The iBooks store, from what I understand, hasn't kept pace with the Kindle or Nook stores. And books don't seem to be a part of Apple's iPad strategy. Were there any improvements to the iPad 2 that made it better for e-books than the original iPad? The only possible difference I saw was that the iPad 2 is lighter. Apple just doesn't seem to be going after the e-book market very hard (which would make sense, given what Jobs had said about the Kindle initially). Quote:
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03-23-2011, 11:11 AM | #397 | |
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Also, Amazon provides DRM as an option for publishers and authors who want it, but it appears they (Amazon) are happy to not use it, otherwise. I know Konrath was pleased by their attitude, and another author recently blogged that Amazon was "thrilled" that he chose to avoid DRM. It makes sense, because without DRM, they can sell to epubbers without having to go through the headache of offering another format. ETA: Great post, WW. |
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03-23-2011, 11:15 AM | #398 | ||||
Guru
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Because it tries to restrict what I can do with legally bough content. I tries to limit the devices on which I can read that book I bought. I tries to prevent me from sharing a book I enjoyed with my wife. It tries to not let me modify my files as I see fit.
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03-23-2011, 11:17 AM | #399 | |
Wizard
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Format shifting is more a problem than taking off DRM imho.. |
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03-23-2011, 11:30 AM | #400 | |
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On a practical level, DRM doesn't impede me much, since removing it is so simple. The only practical hindrance is that I can't listen to TTS from books I download directly to my kindle from Publishers who disable it. (curses on them for that) That doesn't mean I don't resent the heck out of being treated like a criminal, since it is technically illegal here, although I don't think it would stand in court. I don't like all the legalistic (hello amazon customer discussion posters) finger-waggers scolding people for stripping it. And I really don't like how Mobileread is forced to whisper about it. And I don't like that those who've given us the tools to remove it could get into trouble. Last edited by Piper_; 03-23-2011 at 12:08 PM. Reason: fixed a crazy mixed up sentence, format |
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03-23-2011, 11:44 AM | #401 | |
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I too prefer epub, but I can understand their position: they chose to use mobi before epubs were a choice, and by now, dumping mobi or even offering both would be a pain in terms of backwards compatibility or CS. At this point, I'd consider it to be a bigger PITA than just skipping DRM and letting people convert. The point is, they don't use DRM to lock us in to their device. If that was their goal, they wouldn't be handing out K4x aps and they wouldn't be happy to skip drm if the author or publisher allowed it. |
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03-23-2011, 12:00 PM | #402 | |
Wizard
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03-23-2011, 12:05 PM | #403 |
Curmudgeon
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Not to their device, but to their bookstore.
Why are they giving away Kindle-for-whatever programs for just about every platform? Because people buy their books. Amazon is giving the razor away for free and selling the blades. Rogue, I don't disagree that DRM is, or at least can be, highly annoying. But there is a big difference between "damn, this is annoying" and wanting to destroy an entire industry over personal annoyance. As an example, I'm highly annoyed by ice cream companies putting less and less ice cream in their boxes and selling them for the same price -- I'd like to shout at the people who made that decision. But I have no interest in destroying the dairy industry. The contention being brought forth by my opponent is that the people opposing DRM want to destroy the publishing industry, either through malice or through stupidity. The basic point of my post was to disagree with that, and explain how wrong it was. Sure, a world without DRM will be somewhat more convenient (it won't fix the ice cream boxes, though). But it wouldn't be as much more convenient as a world without ebooks would be inconvenient (I grew up in that world). Ebook readers, especially the early-adopting and utterly voracious ebook readers who populate MobileRead, want more ebooks, and want more ebook buyers, not fewer. It's in our own best interest. |
03-23-2011, 01:28 PM | #404 | |
Grand Sorcerer
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Or at least, that was the story for the last few years. Things have been changing fast; it's possible something has changed. Or it's possible that Amazon will allow publishers to go DRM-free, but not allow them to tell customers to ignore the Amazon EULA, which is a lot more restrictive than copyright law requires, and a lot more restrictive than Baen's terms of use for their ebooks. |
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03-23-2011, 01:35 PM | #405 | |
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Last edited by Piper_; 03-23-2011 at 01:38 PM. |
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