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Old 02-13-2010, 04:20 PM   #16
fugazied
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If they raise prices now gradually for the next 20 years, then when paper becomes very expensive due to deforestation, then no one will notice.
That is key imo. Even though it has become a highly politicized discussion, environmental issues and peak oil come into play. How much longer will it be acceptable/economically feasible to cut down down trees, put them on fossil fuel burning trucks, turn it into paper (using a number of petro-checmical substances in the process), transport and store that paper, transport that paper again to the printers, print the book, transport the book to storage, transport the book from storage to the shop or a consumer.

Fuel costs will go up regardless of how global warming shapes up. So print books in 20 years will cost a LOT more based on oil alone. If global warming predictions by the IPCC/Nasa/Meteorology bureaus/CSIRO/Harvard etc do turn out to be accurate, in 20 years we will be a lot hotter, fuels which emit carbon will be taxed a lot so costs for paper books will probably be around the $70 mark and something collectors read on (kinda like vinyl!)
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Old 02-13-2010, 06:36 PM   #17
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20 years from now.. I wonder if the ebooks I bought today could still be read on any device? I know my dead tree books wouldn't have trouble lasting that long.
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Old 02-14-2010, 06:36 AM   #18
Pardoz
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20 years from now.. I wonder if the ebooks I bought today could still be read on any device? I know my dead tree books wouldn't have trouble lasting that long.
Depends on the format in both cases - a 20 year old paperback printed on cheap high-acid paper will often be in pretty rough shape; I can read 20 year old text (and most of my old word-processor) files just fine...assuming I can read the storage medium they're on, anyway.
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Old 02-14-2010, 10:48 AM   #19
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I acquired my oldest eBooks about 15 years ago, and I have no problem reading them. The only eBooks I've lost are ones from which I failed to remove the DRM... and whose vendor shut down their eBook business. Hence, no more DRM for me. Ever.

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Old 02-15-2010, 05:43 AM   #20
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The only eBooks I've lost are ones from which I failed to remove the DRM... and whose vendor shut down their eBook business.
Which vendor? I know somebody made a remover script available for Embiid's stuff after they went belly-up, which is nice since a bunch of the stuff I bought from them has never been available anywhere else.
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Old 02-15-2010, 05:47 AM   #21
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I acquired my oldest eBooks about 15 years ago, and I have no problem reading them.
Xenophon

Same here. I have been collecting ebooks for about the same time and have stuck with the most simple of formats. 85% or better of my books are either .RTF, .doc or .txt with the rest being .lit or .pdf. The only reason I have .lit files is because they worked out very nicely on my old HP Jornada using Micro$oft Reader.
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Old 02-15-2010, 07:10 AM   #22
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Right, Kenny. Development is exponential. The future becomes more difficult to predict with each passing year. We'd be hard pressed to guess where technology will be in two years ... never mind twenty. Great fun trying, though. That's why science fiction is so appealing. Cheers. Neil
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Old 02-15-2010, 07:52 AM   #23
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Quote:
Originally Posted by neilmarr View Post
Right, Kenny. Development is exponential. The future becomes more difficult to predict with each passing year. We'd be hard pressed to guess where technology will be in two years ... never mind twenty. Great fun trying, though. That's why science fiction is so appealing. Cheers. Neil
Yes Sir. I love it. And love the idea, but seriously trying to predict....wow....tough stuff.
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