Predict the date: 200,000 members - Page 15

vivaldirules · 02-28-2013, 08:25 PM

105 to go. So maybe tomorrow about this time? How long have we been anticipating this moment? Seems like a long time acomin'. A loooong time.

pdurrant · 03-01-2013, 12:01 AM

199,915 now. It looks like we're going to hit 200,000 on the third of March.

Wow. We've been really bad at predicting this! (Well, except for shenye, who guessed 28th February. Well done Shenye!)

pdurrant · 03-01-2013, 03:16 AM

199,930

pdurrant · 03-01-2013, 03:20 AM

Over the past couple of days we've been adding 4.6 members per hour. That would mean that we should hit 200,000 around 11:30PM GMT tonight.

But perhaps the last couple of days has been a blip. We shall see!

Billi · 03-01-2013, 06:44 AM

Next one gets member number 200.000!

vivaldirules · 03-01-2013, 07:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pdurrant

Over the past couple of days we've been adding 4.6 members per hour.

That's likely the problem. People joining half-heartedly. Or 0.6 heartedly.

pdurrant · 03-01-2013, 09:08 AM

199,960 Only 40 to go, that's about 8 to 10 hours.

I've update the chart. There's definitely been a slight increase in the number of new members since about the middle of February.

Fat Abe · 03-01-2013, 03:21 PM

My son, in the back seat: Are we there yet?

pdurrant · 03-01-2013, 03:36 PM

199,990 at the moment. Ten to go!

Bilbo1967 · 03-01-2013, 03:41 PM

Looks like we need a DoS attack to prevent JSWolf winning.

It's almost worth it!

pdurrant · 03-01-2013, 03:54 PM

199,993

Seven to go.

JSWolf · 03-01-2013, 04:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pdurrant

199,993

Seven to go.

I was very close. 4pm was my cutoff. Without having to read back, does anyone have anything closer?

Bilbo1967 · 03-01-2013, 04:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JSWolf

I was very close. 4pm was my cutoff. Without having to read back, does anyone have anything closer?

Paul has summarised all the guesses in the first post of this thread. Yours is the earliest guess.

pdurrant · 03-01-2013, 06:23 PM

200,007. Augh... I missed spotting our 200,000th member.

However, angrymonkey is our 200,007th member, and has user number 200060, so our 200,000th member has user number 200053, and is glos

glos has posted an introductory post here. Go and say hi.

pdurrant · 03-01-2013, 06:23 PM

No-one guessed the right time, but JSWolf was closest, and is our winner of this section of the contest.

Congratulations, JSWolf!

03-01-2013, 06:23 PM	#224
pdurrant The Grand Mouse 高貴的老鼠 Posts: 74,433 Karma: 318076944 Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: Norfolk, England Device: Kindle Oasis	200,007. Augh... I missed spotting our 200,000th member. However, angrymonkey is our 200,007th member, and has user number 200060, so our 200,000th member has user number 200053, and is glos glos has posted an introductory post here. Go and say hi. Last edited by pdurrant; 03-01-2013 at 06:26 PM.

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02-28-2013, 08:25 PM	#211
vivaldirules When's Doughnut Day? Posts: 10,059 Karma: 13675475 Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: Houston, TX, US Device: Sony PRS-505, iPad	105 to go. So maybe tomorrow about this time? How long have we been anticipating this moment? Seems like a long time acomin'. A loooong time.

03-01-2013, 12:01 AM	#212
pdurrant The Grand Mouse 高貴的老鼠 Posts: 74,433 Karma: 318076944 Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: Norfolk, England Device: Kindle Oasis	199,915 now. It looks like we're going to hit 200,000 on the third of March. Wow. We've been really bad at predicting this! (Well, except for shenye, who guessed 28th February. Well done Shenye!)

03-01-2013, 03:16 AM	#213
pdurrant The Grand Mouse 高貴的老鼠 Posts: 74,433 Karma: 318076944 Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: Norfolk, England Device: Kindle Oasis	199,930

03-01-2013, 03:20 AM	#214
pdurrant The Grand Mouse 高貴的老鼠 Posts: 74,433 Karma: 318076944 Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: Norfolk, England Device: Kindle Oasis	Over the past couple of days we've been adding 4.6 members per hour. That would mean that we should hit 200,000 around 11:30PM GMT tonight. But perhaps the last couple of days has been a blip. We shall see!

03-01-2013, 06:44 AM	#215
Billi Wizard Posts: 3,388 Karma: 14190103 Join Date: Jun 2009 Location: Berlin Device: Cybook, iRex, PB, Onyx	Next one gets member number 200.000!

03-01-2013, 09:08 AM	#217
pdurrant The Grand Mouse 高貴的老鼠 Posts: 74,433 Karma: 318076944 Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: Norfolk, England Device: Kindle Oasis	199,960 Only 40 to go, that's about 8 to 10 hours. I've update the chart. There's definitely been a slight increase in the number of new members since about the middle of February.

03-01-2013, 03:21 PM	#218
Fat Abe Man Who Stares at Books Posts: 1,826 Karma: 10606722 Join Date: Mar 2010 Location: 50th State, USA. Also, PA, NY, CA, and elsewhere. Device: All of the Above	My son, in the back seat: Are we there yet?

03-01-2013, 03:36 PM	#219
pdurrant The Grand Mouse 高貴的老鼠 Posts: 74,433 Karma: 318076944 Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: Norfolk, England Device: Kindle Oasis	199,990 at the moment. Ten to go!

03-01-2013, 03:41 PM	#220
Bilbo1967 Not scared! Posts: 13,424 Karma: 81011643 Join Date: Mar 2009 Location: Midlands, UK Device: Kindle Paperwhite 10, Huawei M5 10	Looks like we need a DoS attack to prevent JSWolf winning. It's almost worth it!

03-01-2013, 03:54 PM	#221
pdurrant The Grand Mouse 高貴的老鼠 Posts: 74,433 Karma: 318076944 Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: Norfolk, England Device: Kindle Oasis	199,993 Seven to go.

03-01-2013, 06:23 PM	#225
pdurrant The Grand Mouse 高貴的老鼠 Posts: 74,433 Karma: 318076944 Join Date: Jul 2007 Location: Norfolk, England Device: Kindle Oasis	No-one guessed the right time, but JSWolf was closest, and is our winner of this section of the contest. Congratulations, JSWolf!