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Old 01-22-2014, 05:53 PM   #1
mr ploppy
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Self publishing survey (PDF)
http://beverleykendall.com/files/self-publishing.pdf
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Old 01-22-2014, 08:14 PM   #2
meeera
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I confess, the author lost me in the second paragraph.

Quote:
The articles did concede that yes, while there were some breakout successes in the likes of Amanda Hockings, H.M. Ward, Joe Konrath, Bella Andre, Barbara Freehy, Bob Mayer, Marie Force and Hugh Howey, they cautioned these successes were few and far between and as rare as a total solar eclipse over New York City.
NASA tells me the next total solar eclipse over NYC will be in 2079, yet she named eight recent breakout self-publishers off the top of her head.

The stats are interesting, though.
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Old 01-22-2014, 09:14 PM   #3
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Originally Posted by meeera View Post
NASA tells me the next total solar eclipse over NYC will be in 2079, yet she named eight recent breakout self-publishers off the top of her head.
Have you done the math?

If you check out the probability on any given day there will be a total eclipse over New York City, and the probability that any given indie author will join the breakout group, perhaps they aren't so different.

About 300,000 books are published in the US each year. Within an order of magnitude of accuracy, this could mean 100,000 new indie authors. Let's say there are four of these who have that breakout. That comes to 1 in 25,000.

Total solar eclipses are coming to New York City in 2079, 2144, and 2200. Three every 200 years or so works out to about one day in 24,000. Not too shabby for Ms. Kendall.

Now, if you take into account that the next total New York City solar eclipse after than is in 2866, she is too pessimistic. But for the next couple hundred years, she's on target.

The serious point is -- don't quit your day job.
Last edited by SteveEisenberg; 01-22-2014 at 09:17 PM.
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Old 01-22-2014, 09:23 PM   #4
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The serious point is -- don't quit your day job.
You don't have to be a breakout author to quit your day job - as the rest of her stats demonstrate.

(And I'm pretty sure authors are, on the whole, smart enough not to quit their day jobs until they're making a livelihood.)
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Old 01-24-2014, 01:57 PM   #5
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Marie Force was an indie writer that I took a chance on (author of Fatal series). I enjoy her books so much that she is now an auto buy for me in whatever she puts out. If I didn't read books by Indie authors, I would have missed out! Hugh Howey is right up there as well.
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