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Old 03-24-2006, 05:38 AM   #1
Alexander Turcic
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Palm beats the market hands down - a bright future

Palm (Nasdaq: Palm) has big plans for 2006. For starters, the company plans to further strengthen its smartphone business, to expand geographically (foremost Europe and Latin America), and to collaborate with partners to reach new markets. Thursday after the bell, Palm CEO Edward Colligan announced third quarter financial results, reporting earnings that jumped more than six-fold and beat analysts' estimate on higher revenues. Consequently investors cheered the news, with Palm stock surging more than 7 percent after hours.

Shortly before the earnings release, the WSJ argued that Palm profited from concerns among corporate users looking for alternatives to the Blackberry wireless e-mail service during RIM's patent dispute. The article quotes Joe Beery, CIO of US Airways Group, saying that he finds the Treo more usable than the Blackberry. The decision to count the Palm smartphone as another option for the airline came after he began evaluating alternatives to the more than 300 Blackberry devices currently deployed among US Airway's top executives.

According to Colligan, however, Palm's tremendous growth has "less to do with" the Blackberry patent suit. Instead he credited Palm's Microsoft-powered Treos helping boost sales. Windows Mobile "has opened doors" for Palm, in particular among potential corporate customers. According to Ontario-based market researcher Brandimensions, the Treo scores higher than the Blackberry in customer satisfaction.

Some points gathered from yesterday's conference call:
  • Treo sell-thru was 569'000 units, up 102% year-over-year
  • Gross margin was 33.6% (newer products with higher average selling prices)
  • Revenue from smartphones: 74% (vs. 46% in Q3 2005)
  • Huge cash position: $99m in cash and short-term investments
  • Handheld revenues fell 35% year-to-year
  • Regarding pending Apple and Motorola phones: Palm is anticipating the products, but maintains that entire category is poised for growth
  • Head of product marketing group left Palm; plan to recruit new head
  • future: accelerate business in international markets (with new carrier relationships later this year)
  • future: more R&D spending on smartphones

Related news coverage:
Palm Reports Q3 FY06 Results (Palm)
Q3 2006 Earnings Conference Call (Palm)
Q3 2006 Conference Call Presentation (Palm)
Palm's 3Q Profits Soar, Beat Expectations (Associated Press)
How Palm's Treo Capitalized On Blackberry's Patent Fracas (WSJ)
Palm Shows Strong Hand (The Street)

Disclaimer: I own Palm stock in my portfolio.
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Old 03-24-2006, 06:18 PM   #2
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Have you followed the stock movement today? What a sick world we are living in, where Palm obviously beats all estimates, and yet closes almost in the negatives by the end of the day.
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Old 03-24-2006, 07:39 PM   #3
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Originally Posted by TadW
Have you followed the stock movement today? What a sick world we are living in, where Palm obviously beats all estimates, and yet closes almost in the negatives by the end of the day.
Must be the CNET video.
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Old 03-24-2006, 07:43 PM   #4
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Must be the CNET video.
I think I missed that one. Is it online?
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Old 03-24-2006, 07:45 PM   #5
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Cramer is now into Palm: "I think you get into that stock, and you get into it big."
http://www.thestreet.com/_tscnav/fun.../10275627.html
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