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I think that projection was overrated. Suppose that Kindle can attain the star position as iPod, then in order to compare them, I think it is fair to ask:
1) Is the book market half in size as the music industry?
2) Is eBook sales as a percentage of all book sales larger or smaller than digital music sales as a percentage of music sales eventually?
Although I don't have numbers, I am pessimistic on both counts. Therefore I don't quite believe that Kindle can have half as many units moved in the first three years.
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