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I think it will take 2 years more for Android to really reach its true potential as Google is slowly removing stuff from android that hinders or takes time for OEM to modify. One of the major reason that majority of the people are still using gingerbread. And still manufacturers are releasing new devices with gingerbread.
In 2 years I expect Android to reach a point where it can be updated over the air without breaking the skins and mods put in by OEM over it.
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