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On the day that every child starting at a new school is issued with a rugged computer with an e-ink equivalent screen containing all the text books for the whole curriculum, then the mainstream paper book is dead.
It may still take 10-15 years to die, but when these children leave school and start work they will strongly resist any reading material that is not electronic.
Ten years after they enter the workforce there will be almost nothing produced on paper.
If the publishing industry in its current form does not realise this and move with the times then it too is dead.
Paper book will probably live on in niche markets but they will be exactly that - niche.
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