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apps are small.. even the largest i have installed is only about 250megs. most are in the 10-20 range. even with the 16G ipad you'll have plenty of space for apps..
epubs are also very small, a few hundred k for even large books in .epub format. pdf files can be larger, especially with graphics. if you do comics, expect them to take up a bit more too. but even 1g would mean plenty of reading material for a few weeks.
movies. i rip my own using handbrake at the highest settings and most movies are 1-2G in size.
you don't mention music at all, so i'm assuming you have a mp3 player and use that (the ipad is an awkward mp3 player imho).
so given what you mentioned there, a 16G would be fine if you go a week or two with the same content before you're able to get to a computer and re-sync (swap out movies and the like). larger space just means less time between swaps. i have the 64g model and was able to fit 100 or so apps, over 500 epubs, 250 or so pdfs (many technical with lots of diagrams and graphics), 80 albums, 20 movies and still about 9g left of space.
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