View Single Post
Old 07-25-2007, 01:45 PM   #44
HeffeD
Enthusiast
HeffeD has a complete set of Star Wars action figures.HeffeD has a complete set of Star Wars action figures.HeffeD has a complete set of Star Wars action figures.
 
Posts: 35
Karma: 270
Join Date: Feb 2007
Device: Palm Z22
Quote:
Originally Posted by tribble View Post
I guess i am just not so scared anymore. Can happen to people who deal a bit with statistics
Ah, this explains a lot!

Statistics often lull people into a sense of misguided complacency. You may find a book called, The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb interesting...

Statistics aren't anything to place your trust behind. The "highly improbable" happens more often than you'd think. People have died or lost everything they owned by relying on "statistically proved" methods. There's no such thing as a "sure thing" no matter how long it's been studied statistically. How well do statistics stand up against catastrophic mechanical failure? They don't...

It's just common sense folks. No matter how misguided you feel the rule to be, since it's flat out impossible to test everything, erring on the side of safety makes the most sense when lives are at stake. Do you really want to be the one to discover the chink in the planes armor?
HeffeD is offline   Reply With Quote