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Yea, because some random "advocacy" site which seems to have a clear bias of it's own from even a cursory check, and some popsci articles are more important than the actual peer-reviewed studies which have been done. Oh, wait.
ereaders had certainly "taken off" well before the Kindle 2, that's both an Amazon and US-centric view of the market. Again, until very recently constraint on ereader takeup was not market demand, but screen production and hence it's very hard to judge the size of the actual potential ereader market (except to say it's larger than the single-digit million device shipped).
Moreover, Netbooks are actually growing, not shrinking market. Ultra-light laptops have allways been, and remain, expensive devices with considerably higher specifications than netbooks - larger IPS LCD screens with LED lighting compared to Netbook's smaller TN LCD screens, for instance.
The OLPC miserably failed to bring the netbook to general conciousness, and neither was the Classmate PC especially successful at that - it was ASUS with their Eee PC which brought the class to general attention and they've sold heavily as a direct result of ASUS's actions.
"large drive MP3 players existed prior, just no strong branding"
iRiver. Whose players are and always have been technically superior to the iPod, afaik. They don't have the same kind of advertising muscle, sure...
You make a lot of statements, but the market simply isn't behaving as you state it is. Your constant message of doom for eReaders is just more of the same - if you were a market analyst, you'd be out on your rump very quickly.
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