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50/50 chance imo, for all the stories I have heard of friends losing phones/bags and other electronics, about half of them get them back when they have ID with the property.
People are generally pretty good, and only a small % would actually attempt to use your credit card or keep the Kindle when you are easily contactable. But really your best bet is if it goes to lost and found, I'd contact them frequently (daily) to see if it has turned up.
It really is a good feeling when you return something to someone. I remember as a kid finding a woman purse in a shopping cart. Despite it being loaded with money my mother had instilled enough of moral compass in me to know that the only option was to return it. I found the woman close by frantically looking for it, returned it and she was incredibly happy. No reward from her, but it was a good feeling to help someone out.
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