There was a TV programme here recently discussing the contenders for an upcoming fiction award.
The panel discussing the shortlist made the point that the real judges would be reading the books 3 or 4 times; and thereby have a far different view of them than a reader who had only read them once.
As someone who very rarely rereads a book, I thought this was an interesting point; and maybe explains why the books that win the awards often come as a surprise.
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