Quote:
Originally Posted by sirbruce
It wasn't meant to be time-linear. Anyone can grab the numbers and do such a chart to see what it looks like; I did this for the thread on the Kindle forum tracking the number of books on Kindle and the trend is indeed accelerating.
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Actually, it doesn't matter what it's
meant to be time-linear, the
impression given to the average reader is that it would be linear. Nothing indicates a break in the scale and I doubt that oversight was unintentional.
And... not to put too fine a point on it: I don't believe you can prove an acceleration of numbers based on
three data points.
Clearly, the numbers
are increasing, but you have nothing to check the
rate of increase on that slide.
You have a figure for month 1, months 15 and month 18.
If the rate of increase was constant over the entire first 15 months, you'd be looking at about 9300 titles/month. But that's assuming a constant increase over the entire period. It's much more likely that the pace has increased in discrete steps as more staff is assigned to conversion duty.
The last three months, Bezos implies a rate of 15000 titles/month.
Unfortunately, without more data points, we have no idea how that pace changed during the rather large first time frame.
I ran across an interesting bit
here where he's been recording the Kindle Store's own numbers daily for the last two months and the rate of increase has been virtually constant over that time.
-Joe