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Originally Posted by gmw
So current AI might be a bit primitive, but that will change.
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Might change.
The AI is just about as primitive now as 1960s. It's the size of data sets that's changed due to scraping that off the Internet. It's not affordable to do proper human curation of that, such as validating truthiness or copyright status.
Part of my motivation of learning programming (intermittently from 1969 to 1981) was to be involved or develop AI. By 1982 I was learning programming anyway even though I'd learned real AI was simply fantasy. Naive people and some tech people that should have known better claimed AI just needed more powerful coimputers or that it would emerge with a sufficiently powerful and complex system.
Well, like a program to play chess, a slow computer would just do slow AI, if we knew how to do it. Real AI research was mostly abandoned years ago, back in 1980s. Instead research is on networked multilayer databases (so called Neural Networks, which is marketing, no biological system is similar), how to put data in (so called Machine Learning, but no learning is involved) and pattern matching to get an output. Because the input data is so large and poorly curated there is low confidence as to the accuracy of the output or how exactly it was assembled.
Watson Medical System was just using the branding of the Watson that won Jeopardy and was unrelated. It's a failure. The winning of Jeopardy is an example of something actually well suited to computing (like chess). Deciding which image is a chair is nearly impossible for an AI unless it's fed images of all the possible things to sit on at various angles. A two year old human can do far better. The so called AI paradox.
We don't even understand exactly what intelligence is. People also confuse language and vocabulary. Many animals naturally have a large vocabulary, and some such as rooks, parrots, dogs, horses and chimps can learn more. Some birds or animals can also mimic sounds or human speech with out adding them to a vocabulary (starlings). No primate, parrot or rook has demonstrated use of language, only vocabulary. Brain size seems irrelevant as it's now thought rooks might be better than chimps at problem solving. Whales have big brains.
No doubt chatbots and tools to generate images, text or match faces will gradually improve as they have done. Eliza, maybe the first chatbot, is nearly 60 years old. The only two major changes are having the data separate to the basic rule base and parsing engine and scraping the data from the internet. ALICE, maybe the first chatbot on the Internet is from 1995 (Artificial Linguistic Internet Computer Entity) and the main difference from Eliza was using a programming language designed for such a task (others still use it). ALICE uses an XML Schema called AIML (Artificial Intelligence Markup Language) for specifying the heuristic conversation rules. The code of Alice and Eliza is Open Source.
The Linux emacs package has somewhat of Eliza
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When life, the universe and everything is all getting too much, Emacs has doctor.el to help. To consult the doctor type
M-x doctor
The doctor is a Rogerian psychotherapist who will help you with your problems. It would spoil the fun and hurt your recovery to say too much here about how the doctor works. But when you’re ready to find out see WikiPedia:ELIZA.
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