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					Originally Posted by Quoth  I've spun up drives unused for 25 years. Less likely than fade on Flash/SSD, especially higher 3D levels. On Sata there is usually SMART. Any important back up should be on known good media and read to check.It's loads of on/off cycles that can cause failure to spin up.
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 Google has a 13 page paper 
Failure Trends in a Large Disk Drive Population (easy to find with a web search. Among the conclusions:
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		| Our results confirm the findings of previous smaller population studies that suggest that some of the SMART
 parameters are well-correlated with higher failure prob-
 abilities. We find, for example, that after their first scan
 error, drives are 39 times more likely to fail within 60
 days than drives with no such errors. First errors in re-
 allocations, offline reallocations, and probational counts
 are also strongly correlated to higher failure probabil-
 ities. Despite those strong correlations, we find that
 failure prediction models based on SMART parameters
 alone are likely to be severely limited in their prediction
 accuracy, given that a large fraction of our failed drives
 have shown no SMART error signals whatsoever.
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 (Emphasis mine.)