Quote:
Originally Posted by yvanleterrible
By the time that bulb burns out, the cf and led bulbs will have faded to a more economical bulb with a smaller embedded energy value. And that same incandescent bulb in your attic might consume more than your whole house will! 
[SNIP remainder that is on a different topic]
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At some point in the future, CFLs and LED bulbs will get cheap enough that it will make sense to replace that bulb whether it has burned out or not. If you look at the unfortunately long discussion I posted on the question, you'll see that it's pretty easy to decide when to do it.
I look forward to your predicted improvements in lighting tech. But in the mean time, I'll upgrade stuff that'll make a bigger difference.
Xenophon