Quote:
Originally Posted by rcentros
In the United States, less than 800 people under the age of 50 have died from coronavirus. That comes out to about 2.5 people (under 50) per million.
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I'm not sure where your figures come from, nor am I sure they match the current situation.
USA population over 50 is
just over 100 million, so under 50: Say 200 million.
For your 800 people under 50, I found
this article from 9th April. At that time, around 15,000 USA deaths were attributed to coronavirus, so approximately 5% of deaths were in people under 50. Over 50,000 deaths have been recorded so far, so now deaths of people under 50 is probably around 2,500.
2,500 in 200 million is 12.5 per million.
But of course, not everyone under 50 has caught the disease yet. About 1 million Americans have tested positive. That's an underestimate, as there are certainly people who've had the disease without being tested. But let's run with it for a moment. Let's further assume that the people testing positive are typical, so we can say that there's been around 600,000 positive tests in people under 50.
2,500 in 600,000 is about 4,000 in a million.
But let's say the number currently infected is ten times higher.
That's still 400 in a million. Or 80,000 people under 50.
Or a personal risk of about 1 in 2,400. if you're under 50.
And all that is, of course, assuming medical care isn't overwhelmed with the number of cases needing treatment.