I replaced the battery, thinking that was the problem (the glue on the battery was a complete pain), but the device is still behaving exactly the same way so I think you're correct in saying the eMMC is shot.
He used the device infrequently, but I'm not totally sure how often he allowed it to completely discharge.
To be fair to him, he was already resigned to buying a new one, but I hoped i'd be able to fix it.
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