Quote:
Originally Posted by Shane R
I think there will be a plurality of computing form factors.
This erroneous viewpoint came about because many projected the iPad (really, any new Apple product) to emulate the iPhone successes (90+% of all smartphone profits). They're making the same mistake with the Watch and they'll make it again with the Car. These will be safe, profitable businesses for Apple, but they'll be niches.
The iPhone was an aberration. Windows the OS was an aberration. Nothing in human history will ever again do for one company what Windows did for MS and what the iPhone did for Apple. There will always be pluralities. Thats how markets work.
|
Windows success is mostly the result of opponent incompetence in the 80's and 90's that entrenched it so deeply an asteroid impact won't kill it.
PS2 almost made it there.
Kindle is getting close to that threshold.
In each of those cases you have a good product that goes essentially unchallenged because the opposition misread the market. And, as you say, those events are rare, generational outliers.