Quote:
Originally Posted by wizwor
First, get going with PlayLater. It is simply awesome. Hope you got the HD plugins.
This isn't a bubble. It's a transition. Amazon will sell more Fire TVs in a year than Apple and Roku put together. Apple will exit the market because they don't sell hardware at cost and Roku will leave because they are still running on venture capital and no one will invest in Roku now that Amazon and Google have decided to enter the market.
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I got the HD versions--that's why I need to upgrade the hardware.
As to the oh-so-bold prediction...
We'll see, but I think you underestimate the power of the incumbents.
Amazon might outsell Apple and Roku but 80 Million console owners and another horde of BluRay players aren't going to replace their perfectly capable streamers (that can already Amazon's own service) for a less capable device.
Unlike ebooks in 2007, living room streaming isn't untapped virgin territory; well over half US households already have a streaming device in place and a good portion of the rest don't have unlimited broadband or aren't interested. That is why I expect the bubble to pop early next year.