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I don't think anything can pass unless the netizens approve. And as soon as netizens learn that Rep. Nadler is generally labeled as a supporter of strong copyright and the music industry, I think the netizens will disapprove whatever he favors.
Personally I would love to see a compromise where shorter copyright terms are more vigorously enforced. But hardly anyone else feels that way, so this has close to zero chance of passage. As for strengthening copyright without some compensating loosening in other areas, chances of that passing are even closer to zero. This is the lesson of SOPA.
We'll see in the next few years if I'm right.
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