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Originally Posted by kovidgoyal
Umm no. At best you can include the cost of eink devices in the cost of ebook infrastructure, which is a fixed cost (independent of the number of ebooks produced). And the infrastructure costs for pbooks are way higher.
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No, of course you can include the costs of ebook research into the costs for ebook devices. And honestly I don't see how the cost would be fixed, if every person of the world would want an ebook device, you need of course more factories.
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Also in a few years dedicated ebook readers will be replaced by multifunction devices with reflective screens.
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Who knows? You cannot say anything with "scientfic certainity" about the future. Or make such a claim without weaking adverbs like "likely", "possibly", "hopefully", etc. You can prolong trends from the past to the present, and hope or claim they don't suddendly move different, than they have so far, but that does not make a "will" sentence...