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Old 01-06-2013, 02:17 PM   #121
Kali Yuga
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Quote:
Originally Posted by fjtorres View Post
They still have a lot of Nook equity value to fritter away.
The Nook business has no "equity."

The Nook project has never turned a profit. If it was spun off today, it'd have a handful of assets and massive debts.


Quote:
Originally Posted by fjtorres
Since Nook started with a valuation of US$1.8 Billion (on a basis of 25% of the US ebook market)...
That's not its "valuation." That's a wild guess.

B&N's current valuation -- its real valuation, also known as market cap -- is $800 million. It's been bouncing around the $1 billion mark since 2009. That's the Nook division and the stores.


Quote:
Originally Posted by fjtorres
it'll take even the Riggio gang a few years to burn through the rest of the $600 million Microsoft money and the $90 million Pearson money.
Try "three years" -- assuming they get the second half of the investment, instead of getting bought out by Microsoft.

The Nook business alone currently burns $50 million a quarter, and got worse instead of better in Q4.


Quote:
Originally Posted by fjtorres
Plus however much they can get out of the Random Penguin, HCSS, and the rest of the BPHs.
The only thing they can "get out" of big pubs is more lenient credit terms. If the big pubs invest in B&N, they'd be facing a major antitrust challenge with a DOJ hostile to the publishers.


Quote:
Originally Posted by fjtorres
Assuming their marke share actually dropped to 20%....
If the Nook business loses ground, it won't be worth jack. Microsoft will pick it up for a song, and integrate it into its mobile platform.
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