Quote:
Originally Posted by hn333
Ten years from now no one will be using LCD. It's already on its way out.
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That... is an aggressive estimate.
Say twenty and you might be right.
But since LCD panels have usable lifetimes in excess of ten years, even if production stopped today, they would still be usable and in use 10 years from now.
Even if you mean that no *vendor* will be selling new LCD-based products in ten years the odds are against that prediction. LCD is so entrenched and widely used that it is cheaper and more effective to spend money refining it than developing an all-different alternative. (
https://www.mobileread.com/forums/sho...d.php?t=180252)
LCD light-valve tech is relatively cheap, well-understood, and still has room to improve. So far it has smoked "superior" competitors like PDP and SED and is still outracing OLED, the current "great hope" for an LCD successor.
At some point LCD *will* be superseded but there isn't any candidate out there that could totally displace it in just ten years.
But its fun to imagine what the tech that succeeds it would be like: (way) cheaper than OLED, more saturated than Mirasol, less power hungry and more durabe than PDP... It would have to be a wonder tech.
