Quote:
Originally Posted by Steven Lyle Jordan
The only thing I take issue with there is the .01 you've suggested as the number of civilizations born every year. I'd guess at that number being a lot closer to .000000001 or so... see what that does to the calculation? It gets mighty lonely out here.
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I have no problems with that number either. The .01 was simply a number pulled out of the hat. but lets use your number. If the average civilization broadcasts for 1000 years, then the odds of such civilization existing at any given time is roughly 1 in a million. The odds of two such civilizations existing at the same time is roughly 1 in 1000000000000. Which means such a pairing of civilizations will likely never exist in this era in our galaxy.
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Bill