Thread: Apple's War on Android
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Old 03-31-2012, 06:26 AM   #14
wizwor
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Quote:
Originally Posted by frahse View Post
Vaporware! Vapor plans! That is Microsoft.

The corporate and business world is their bread and butter along with any (call it) mainstream machines.
Xbox says hello. Xbox captured 42% of console sales last month despite not competing in the business world. Windows waves at you from more than 1,000,000,000 computers across the globe -- most of them in homes.
Quote:
Originally Posted by frahse View Post
I don't know how it will work out.
No one does. History gives us clues, though.
  • Unix/Linux/Android has been brimming with potential my entire life. It never achieves it's potential because profitable alternatives manage price and features such that it's worth the price to get the features. As soon as someone figures out how to make money selling products based on these, their business plan is rooted.
  • Microsoft always wins. People mocked Windows, Internet Explorer, and the Xbox. All are doing fine. Now we are mocking the Zune, but it's Metro interface is the Win8 touch interface and Win8 phones are Zunes with dialers -- don't confuse brand failure with product failure.
  • People will buy phones and tablets that are not made by Apple. If the price/feature ratio is low enough, there is interest. Amazon sold a lot of Fires. Amazon, Google, and Microsoft can afford to sell devices at or below cost and fund massive development programs to secure market share. Apple can too, but competing on price will not support a $600 share price.
In the Apple vs Android competition, I pick Apple. I really do not see any reason for people to buy an inexpensive tablet with no ecosystem. Until Android has killer apps that will not run on or port to iPads, Fires, and Win8 devices, it will remain a hobby. Amazon will use Android, but differentiate itself to the point that few will be tempted to root their Fires. At some point, Microsoft will beat all comers. Microsoft Access will be the killer app for the Win8 portables (Microsoft gives away the runtimes). Xbox licenses will allow games to be played on the Win8 phone. Microsoft will buy Netflix or some other floundering content provider and excel (pun intended) as a media bundler. They will buy or license B&N to gain entry to the book market (Encarta was Funk and Wagnalls). Same as it ever was.
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