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Originally Posted by Chaos
Longhorn is the place I think Linux and OSX will really begin to gain much more momentum. After such a long time between releases, and with, to our current knowledge, not much in the way of great features, Longhorn will be the OS people won't want to upgrade to.
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More-importantly, it'll be at least 3-4 years after Longhorn is released before any businesses begin to deploy it.
At my wife's work (biggest pharma in the world) and at portions of my day job, we perform our work on Windows 2000 machines. Her work is just planning on rolling out XP company-wide for next year. XP in 2006. You think they're going to upgrade to Longhorn/Vista in 2007? Highly unlikely.
By that time, the entire nature of the software industry is going to change so dramatically, that Microsoft Windows will end up looking like BeOS or Amiga does now.