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Originally Posted by QuantumIguana
People said that recorded music would destroy live music. It didn't. People still sing, people still play instruments . . .
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There may be better examples that could be given to make your point. Home singing was extremely common family entertainment in most western countries. And among families with enough money to afford instruments, the singing was accompanied. Walking in the evening down an American residential street a century ago, you would have heard live singing and music coming from house after house. Now, entertainment is typically given to the individuals as consumers, rather than created by family and friends for themselves. This is a tremendous difference.
This effect of eBooks on our lives is minuscule compared to that of recorded music. That's true even for people who don't listen to much recorded music, because the decline in music-making so changed the tone of family life.
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So, I don't think paper books are going to go away.
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Go away completely? No. Become a niche market, like vinyl records? We just don't know. I do think the decline of paper books will be slow, if only because used paper books will be cheaper than eBooks for a long time to come.
The form factor of the 6 inch eReader, and the reading experience, is just not all that different from that of a paper book. By contrast, singing while your teenager played the piano was completely different from listening to Rudy Vallee.