#6 - B&N finds itself with eReader inventory issues and is forced into Chapter 11 reorganization and a spin-off/sale of Nook as a standalone entity.
Anybody can play that game.
With about as much credibility.
(In other words: throw darts at a board, phrase it like you know what you're talking about, and forget the predictions when they fail to materialize.)
Between end-of-year prognosticating and April Fool's gags, I prefer the April reports. They're more credible, for one.