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I'd guess that one factor that hasn't been addressed much is how careful the reader is with their ereader. If it's dropped often or accidentally submerged in water then it won't last as long as it might otherwise. I've had my Kindle3 just under 7 months (March 11 2011) and haven't had any problems with it to speak of. Of course I bought a case for it right off as a way of protecting it against falls and keep it safely away from water as well. I might add a Kindle fire on eventually, but my K3 is still working very well.
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