My daughter loves Nook Color and iPad. She's been using them since she was 4. Our friend's kid who is 1.5 plays with iPad just fine. Since there are no moving parts and the drop height is naturally limited there is little chance of breaking.
As far as Kindle Fire is concerned it will really depend on whether there will be enough interesting content for kids there. My daughter loves using reading/math tutor apps on iPad and playing pottery game. She also loves reading Kid's books on Nook Color.
If Amazon will offer similar books they Kids will love Kindle Fire
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