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Originally Posted by elcreative
Not non-fiction... why can't commentators (or as as previously been quoted, common taters) do their job properly... 80% of fiction? Maybe... 80% of non-fiction... no chance yet... hence 80% of all books? Get real...
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Well, he did walk back to coments from 80% of all books to 80% straight "narrative text" , by which he means (I think) novels and non-fiction. Here's his comment:
Quote:
I think an 80% ebook world for straight narrative text is a question of "exactly when", not "whether". The limitation is the distribution of devices, a subject I should know more about than I do. But people examining the potential for ebook sales in the poorest parts of the world think people will be able to read books on any cell phone, so that it is truly diminishing limitation. So, 3 years in the US? Can't imagine longer than 5 years here, I wouldn't imagine.
What's the harder question is "what happens to books that require illustrations"? There is a large number of potential answers, and the only thing I'm pretty sure of is that it will be a number of things, not one thing, providing the answer. Some of them will feel like books; some will feel like apps; some will feel like web sites; and some will feel like things we haven't felt yet.
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Still, that 80% looks high, even for 5 years from now.