Intersting article on the Ebook market by Shatzkin, in which he tries to sum up what we know about the Ebook market. He makes this prediction:
Quote:
We know that rate of growth is mathematically prevented from continuing for even three more years (because it would put ebooks at 160% of publishers’ revenues if it did!)
We know from announcements about new devices and a recent Harris poll predicting increased device purchasing that there are no expectations for a slowdown in ebook adoption anytime soon.
We don’t know if we’re going to find a barrier of resistance, or perhaps we should call it the barrier of “paper-insistence”, at some sales level over the next two years (at the end of which ebooks would be 80% of publishers’ revenues at the growth rates we’ve seen over the past four years).
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LINK
He walks it back in the comments to 80% for narrative books. Is even that a stretch?