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Old 08-30-2011, 09:09 AM   #361
pdurrant
The Grand Mouse 高貴的老鼠
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kartu View Post
No. It's an IHS forecast and you have no idea what it is based on.
You're right — I didn't read that quite carefully enough. I thought that they had also given figures for the recent past, while all their figures are forecasts.

Others have given figures based on announced shipments that almost match their 74% estimate, and I wrongly assumed that this figure was from the same sources.

Quote:
Originally Posted by kartu View Post
And no, you can't replace it with wild assumptions based on number of times someone accessed google market place during 2 weeks of August 2011.
Estimating numbers from web access information seems reasonable to me. Unless you're suggesting that Android Tablet owners access that site significantly less than owners of other Android devices?

Of course, if makers were to announce consumer sales numbers we wouldn't need to estimate numbers another way.

Quote:
Originally Posted by kartu View Post
That's just an urban legend, which is, besides, irrelevant.
Shipping times for iPads finally went to "Within 24 hours" (i.e. stock always on hand) at the Apple on-line store only in early August this year. Until August Apple's iPad sales have been constrained by the supply. That's not an urban legend. It is not irrelevant, as Apple count as sales shipments to retailers. If there was reason to think that there could be a large stock of iPads still unsold in retailer's warehouses, Apple's stated sales numbers would not reflect numbers actually sold to consumers.
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