Quote:
Originally Posted by kartu
Tablets:
Apple went from 94% last year to 74% this year.
Tablet market is expected to quadruple during next 3-4 years. Forecast for Apple in 2015 is 44% of the market. Source.
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Note that those numbers are for units shipped, not sold. Well, for iPads shipped and sold are almost the same - Apple've been selling as many as they can make and ship, and only recently have they been able to keep up with demand.
I don't think the same is true of other tablets. But hey - we can check. At least for Android tablets. There's this
handy chart, updated 1st August when I checked, that gives the percentages of the different Android OS devices that have accessed Android Market recently. Android 3.x (i.e. Android Tablets) account for 1.3% of the total.
So if we know how many Android devices in total there are out there, we'd not how many Android Tablets are being used. In mid July,
it was announced that it was on 135 million devices. Let's round that up to 140 million to take it to the 1st August, and let's round that 1.3% to 1.5%.
Then at the beginning of August, we can, very generously, say that there are 2.1 million Android Tablets out there.
In the last quarter for which we have figures, Apple sold 9.25 million iPads. If All the Android Tablets being used were sold in that same quarter, it would still give Apple over 80% of the market.
It's most unlikely (impossible) for Apple to keep the massive (95%) market share they had when they were essentially the only good tablet on the market.
But I suspect that people who expect the iPad market share to fairly quickly drop to under 50% are going to be wrong.
Look at MP3 players. Apple still has the vast majority of MP3 player sales, many years after the iPod range was first launched.