Quote:
Originally Posted by EatingPie
At this point we are actually arguing apples and oranges.... in circles! Here's what I mean.
MOBI
The Futuresource article says 2010 ebook sales were 80% in the US, 10% in the UK, both dominated by Amazon. So MOBI is the most-sold format in that study.
EPUB
Every major Reader supports ePUB except Amazon's Kindle. That's Apple, B&N, Kobo, Sony, etc. So the majority of Readers support ePUB (no study required).
Using these facts (giving futuresource the benefit of the doubt, calling it "fact"), we've made two arguments about standardization:
1) ORIGINAL: Amazon adopts EPUB because everyone else uses it.
2) CURRENT: Everyone adopts MOBI because it's the "dominant" format as of 2010.
Here's the question:
Given (1) and (2), which is more likely? Getting one manufacturer to change, or getting every other manufacturer to change?
Honestly, I think either scenario falls under "moving mountains." But I don't need a statistical study to tell me that moving one mountain is easier than moving a bunch of them. This is why I'm in the EPUB camp.
-Pie
PS. I ignored the scenario "(3) nothing changes" because this is a thread about standardization, and (3) means no standard.
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There have been links posted to articles that say that B&N is #2 in the USA with 25% of the eBook market. So that leave some % for Sony & Kobo and others. So 80% for Amazon would then have to be incorrect as taking 25% off of 100% is not 80%. So sorry, that article claiming 80% for Amazon isn't correct. We have Sony, B&N, Kobo, & Apple as the big players. Then there are the people who have other readers. For Apple, I'm going with iBooks and none of the other apps.
Now, we have Sony with the 500 sold before the Kindle and all the other models. We have different models of B&N and Kobo. We have lots of other readers such as Jetbooks and whatnot. So given all of this, there is no way Amazon can be 80% in the US. The numbers just don't fit.
So how can we get 80% for Amazon when there are so many other readers out there that are not Kindle's? We can't and we don't. Again, that article is guessing and incorrectly at that.