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I also have much better luck on LibraryThing than Goodreads even though I enter less giveaways. GR has an algorithm that looks at many factors to determines the winner similar to LT, but I think LT's algorithm is much better...at least for me it is. I suspect there is more emphasis on randomness on the GR giveaway, while the LT algorithm focuses more on determining the best book to reviewer match.
I've been getting more than I can handle lately from LT's giveaways (both the early reviewers and the member giveaways) so I don't worry too much about the GR giveaways. I entered a bunch at LT thinking I'd never win anyway and ended up winning several...ack!
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