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There was about 450 days between Kindle 1 and Kindle 2, and a bit over 500 days between Kindle 2 and Kindle 3.
So one might think that a Kindle 4 will arrive in very late 2011 (not going to happen) or a few months into 2012.
My guess is we'll see a Kindle 4 announcement on Thursday, 16 February, 2012.
Although I suspect it really depends on screen technology availability. My hope is that the next Kindle will have a mirasol (or equivalent) display.
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