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The trend I have seen:
1. People like streaming video, or getting it on demand - movie stores, especially rentals, are dying out.
2. Young people (the majority buyers of music) want it cheap and fast, don't care about owning the CD or vinyl.
3. Digital distribution of computer games is being driven at both ends - consumers want it now, publishers want to cut out the used trade.
4. Comic books are a dying industry; they are now only found in specialty shops.
5. Newspaper subscriptions are dwindling; people want their news online.
I believe you that books are not going away, but I think ebooks are going to make a major dent in the physical book business. I don't know anyone with an ebook reader who has kept buying physical books at the same rate, and I know fewer and fewer people who do not own an ebook reader, smart phone or tablet.
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