View Single Post
Old 04-21-2011, 11:54 AM   #81
roofone
Enthusiast
roofone began at the beginning.
 
Posts: 26
Karma: 10
Join Date: Dec 2007
Device: Sony 505, Kindle 3, ipod, ipad
Quote:
Originally Posted by pdurrant View Post
It depends on the assumptions you bring to the problem. If you assume that Monty knows what's behind each door, and that he therefore will always open a door with a goat behind it, you should switch.

But I agree that it's not really a trolling statement. But I'm also not going to spend any time critiquing the examples used in a usenet post by someone in 1994!
Thanks. And, I wasn't (meta)trolling -- I just thought it was a weird example (even taking into account it's ~17 years(!) out of context) and wanted to make sure I wasn't missing anything.

(It's pretty clear to me that it's 33/66% and better to switch once Monty opens the door, but that's a discussion for a different kind of forum.)
roofone is offline   Reply With Quote