Quote:
Originally Posted by DiapDealer
Because it's not correct, by my logic anyway. The goat-door has left the equation--it's Casper... bologna without the mayo. What you are left with is 50-50 chance. Switching your choice at that point doesn't decrease or increase the odds.
You know what?
I think I just fell for the bait.  |
It depends on the assumptions you bring to the problem. If you assume that Monty knows what's behind each door, and that he therefore will always open a door with a goat behind it, you should switch.
But I agree that it's not really a trolling statement. But I'm also not going to spend any time critiquing the examples used in a usenet post by someone in 1994!