Quote:
Originally Posted by pdurrant
It's anyone's guess when ebooks will outstrip either hardbacks or paperbacks by value. No doubt Amazon will tell us when that happens.
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It is a guess, this is true, but one
can make educated guesses: I did a curve fit analysis of the last seven years of ebook sales data to the standard "S-curve" that models how fast people adopt new products, and the data fit the curve with a correlation coefficient of 0.9677 (an incredibly good fit; 1.0 is perfect). If that trend continued, ebooks this year would be 25-30% of all book revenues. You can read my analysis and more details about where it could go:
http://critique.org/blog/?l=20101110212040
I've long been a fan of ebooks so all I can say is w00t!
