Quote:
Originally Posted by Hellmark
This article is kinda bogus. I mean, to some extent, all tech is doomed. How many things made in the last 100 years have remained unchanged, and never obsoleted?
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I was thinking the same thing.
I remember fifteen or twenty years ago reading an interview in USA Today with a stock analyst (who was young and very attractive, by the way) who was shorting Blockbuster stock because everyone predicted that one day we would receive movies through the internet. Fifteen or twenty years seems to me to be too long a time to be shorting a stock!
I can imagine that there will be devices twenty years from now that will do other things in addition to eBook reading. That does not mean that I am predicting the demise of the eBook reader!
I predict that twenty years from today there will be people who, like today, do not want to browse the internet or listen to music while they read; and they will be reluctant to pay extra for features they don't want.
In addition, it seems to me that much of this talk of convergence is about items which have been miniaturized. People who read want a 5-, 6- or larger inch screen. Relatively few people enjoy reading on their iPhone. I don't think that people who want multi-function gadgets like an iPhone want to carry with them an item as large as an eBook reader.