Quote:
Originally Posted by Ken Stuart
You need to look at what has happened recently:
- VHS is over and DVD is on the decline.
- Printed newspapers and printed magazines are dying at a rapid rate (there is even a web site that lists dead magazines).
- Harry Potter just delayed the death of the book, at least in terms of the masses. Perhaps the "novel to read while waiting for the plane at the airport" will survive for some time.
- The music industry has reversed the trend from the 50s and to the 70s, and is now individual songs rather than albums.
- Widescreen HD TVs are now the norm and are available for even $99.
and the biggest factor of the last 20 years is cellphones.
Even working class people in Africa who make a tiny fraction of our income have cell phones.
Eventually all smartphone features will trickle down to average cell phones. Already many people use their phone as their music player.
I can see the Galaxy Tab form factor becoming the dominant device for media 5-10 years from now.
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Your Harry Potter point, made me think about something I should put have put in my original post. Teenagers are the ones that many companies are staying afloat on (i.e. Harry Potter, Twilight, True Blood series books by Charlaine Harris (I realize they aren't age appropriate for teens, but that didn't stop me from reading outside my age range when I was a teen), and many music artist that don't have any real talent, but are pushed on early teens and in some cases age 8 and up. These teens and kids are still use to paper books and Cd's and DVDs and are a major part what is keeping many of the industries we are talking about afloat, but what happens when the babies being born now, approach teenage years, and aren't use to seeing Cd's, DVDs, and are use to listening to MP3s and looking at e-books, because many adults my age that are new parents are using MP3's , e-book's, and streamed TV shows/movies and therefore that will trickle down to the children?