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Originally Posted by SameOldStory
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Didn't read the entire post, however, they have at least some mistakes in their math.
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[B][COLOR="Red"][I]"It is also important to recognize that official recidivism statistics are always lower than actual reoffense rates, because some sex offenders commit many sex crimes that go unreported and undetected.
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Denote number of detected offenders as X and number of second-time detected offenders as Y. Then, Y/X is official recidivism statistics.
Then, denote the actual number of offenders as X', and actual number of multi-time offenders as Y'. Then, Y'/X' is actual recidivism statistics.
So, because some sex crimes go unreported and undetected, we can say that X' is larger than X, and Y' is larger than Y. From that, we cannot conclude anything about whether Y'/X' is larger or smaller than Y/X.