I think so many people posting here, as early adopters, have been hammered with all the resistance arguments that people give.
I think the ipad has been the beginning of introducing ebook reading to the mainstream. Most people have hardly been aware it exist until this year.
Vinyl has a superior 'feel' to digital downloads, but people tend to talk about how good vinyl is and then download the mp3. There will always be coffee table books and some technica; and picture books in physical formats, but general reading will be done mainly on ebooks closer to 2012 than 2015.
It is likely that the bulk of the trade will be done on phones which are becoming the convergence device for so many technologies, and this vehicle is likely to bring more books to 2nd & 3rd world countries than paperbacks ever have. A paperback book collection is a very western middle class luxury.
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