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Five years.
Paper books will still be a large part of the market in five years but I think e-books will surpass Paper Books in sales in five years. As more kids use computers in school and at home, schools will find it cheaper and easier to use e-textbooks. While e-readers might not be the best for reading e-textbooks, a laptop or home computer works just fine.
While it is true that a large portion of the world does not have access to computers the way the Developed World, I wonder how many paper books the people living in those areas are actually reading. Additionally, e-readers and net books are making it easier for Aid agencies and international organizations that support education across the globe to provide inexpensive devices. Which brings into play e-textbooks in developing areas.
Paper books will never go away but they are going to diminish pretty quickly.
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