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Given the huge amount of people that only read one or two books a year...given all of the older folks that don't want to hassle with technology...given the occasional holdouts like me (DRM and loss of resale-ability sucks)...I don't think so.
Hell, they've been saying this for over 10 years now for CDs. Guess what? They're still here. I still prefer a CD. Sure, they get ripped to the media server and stored in a drawer...and provide a nice physical backup. And I can resell it for a couple of bucks (sometimes) or I can buy a used one for a couple of bucks. And don't start me on itunes. I hate itunes. At least most of the music doesn't have DRM any more.
You might see music CDs finally replaced in that amount of time...maybe. Books are a long way off still.
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