|11-14-2008, 07:33 PM||#1|
Join Date: May 2007
Location: South Wales, UK
Device: Sony PRS-500, PRS-505, Asus EEEpc 4G
Keynes, John Maynard: The Great Slump of 1930, v.1, 15 November 2008.
John Maynard Keynes (1883–1946)
The Great Slump of 1930 (1930)
First published in The Nation & Athenaeum, issues of December 20 and December 27, 1930.
A short article on the causes of the recession of 1930. Could this be a case of ‘plus ça change, plus c’est la même chose’? Decide for yourself.
|11-14-2008, 09:06 PM||#2|
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Virginia, USA
Device: Sony PRS-500
I have read the book before. It is a splendid example of the “instant analysis” school of thought that presents a preformed set of beliefs to a situation. I does not matter what the problem is, the solution is always the same.
Regretfully for the US, political leaders did follow many of the solutions advanced in these pages with the result that the major recession grew into a depression. Many of the fixes advanced are similar to plans put forth by current Congressional and future Presidential leaders of the US today.
Keynes was well regarded in his day; however, this book is a classic case of “don’t believe everything you read.
|11-27-2008, 06:07 AM||#3|
Join Date: Nov 2008
Keynes, The Great Slump, and today
Two aspects of this essay by Keynes seem highly relevant today.
I. Keynes stressed the threat which the slump posed to ‘the social stability of every country alike’.
‘… a series of bankruptcies, defaults, and repudiations which would shake the capitalist order to its foundations … would be a fertile soil for agitation, seditions, and revolution. It is so already in many quarters of the world.’
The only place where I know this aspect of this essay of Keynes and his other writings has been discussed is in Donald Markwell’s book called ‘Economic Paths to War and Peace - John Maynard Keynes and International Relations’ (around pages 172-173).
II. Keynes ended by stressing the necessity of the monetary authorities of the big economic powers acting together.
‘…nor can any one central bank do enough acting in isolation. … the most effectibe remedy would be that the central banks of these three great creditor nations [the United States, France, and England] should join together in a bold scheme to restore confidence to the international long-term loan market; which would serve to revive enterprise and activity everywhere, and to restore prices and profits, so that in due course the wheels of the world’s commerce would go round again.’
As Markwell’s book also shows, this necessity of international economic action is one of the key lessons from Keynes’s thinking, at least from the aftermath of the First World War on.
Does anybody else think these two points from Keynes are of the utmost importance to our current global meltdown?
|economics, recession, slump|
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